Spillover Today? Predicting Traffic Overflows on Private Peering of Major Content Providers

Elad Rapaport, Ingmar Poese, Polina Zilberman, Oliver Holschke, Rami Puzis

IEEE Transactions on Network and Service Management 18 (4), 4169-4182, 2021

Large content providers and content distribution network operators usually connect with large Internet service providers (eyeball networks) through dedicated private peering. The capacity of these private network interconnects is provisioned to match the volume of the real content demand by the users. Unfortunately, in cases in which there is a surge in traffic demand, (e.g., due to trending content or massive software updates) the capacity of the private interconnect may deplete, requiring the content provider/distributor to reroute the excess traffic through transit providers. Although such overflow events are rare, they negatively impact content providers, Internet service providers, and end-users. Such impact includes unexpected delays and disruptions that reduce the quality of the user experience, as well as direct costs paid by the Internet service provider to the transit providers. In this article, we examine the problem …